VenueGapLive screener →

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Mon, Sep 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET · MLB games · $25 traded in 24h across both venues.

Baltimore Orioles: Kalshi 54¢ vs Polymarket 51¢, +2.5 pp

Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 54¢ means 54%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-5.25¢ per $1, after fees
Buy Cleveland Guardians @ Kalshi 50¢, Baltimore Orioles @ Polymarket 52¢

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap
Cleveland Guardians48¢ / 50¢48¢ / 50¢0.0 pp
Baltimore Orioles52¢ / 55¢50¢ / 52¢+2.5 pp

Price history, last 3 days

193 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All MLB games disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports