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Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Sun, Sep 6, 2026, 1:40 PM ET · MLB games · $13k traded in 24h across both venues.

Chicago Cubs: Kalshi 56¢ vs Polymarket 57¢, -1.0 pp

Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 56¢ means 56%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-3.23¢ per $1, after fees
Buy Chicago Cubs @ Kalshi 57¢, Miami Marlins @ Polymarket 43¢

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap
Chicago Cubs56¢ / 57¢57¢ / 58¢-1.0 pp
Miami Marlins42¢ / 44¢42¢ / 43¢+0.5 pp

Price history, last 3 days

209 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All MLB games disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports