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Counter-Strike: paiN vs ShindeN (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Fri, Sep 11, 2026, 1:00 PM ET · Counter-Strike matches · $36k traded in 24h across both venues.

paiN: Kalshi 59¢ vs Polymarket 61¢, -1.5 pp

Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 59¢ means 59%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-3.20¢ per $1, after fees
Buy paiN @ Kalshi 60¢, ShindeN @ Polymarket 40¢

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap
paiN58¢ / 60¢60¢ / 61¢-1.5 pp
ShindeN40¢ / 41¢39¢ / 40¢+1.0 pp

Price history, last 3 days

8 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

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