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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 9:30 AM ET · Bundesliga games · $5 traded in 24h across both venues.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Kalshi 40¢ vs Polymarket 41¢, -0.5 pp

Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 40¢ means 40%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-6.09¢ per $1, after fees
Buy TSG 1899 Hoffenheim @ Kalshi 41¢, VfB Stuttgart @ Polymarket 36¢, Draw @ Polymarket 25¢

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim39¢ / 41¢39¢ / 42¢-0.5 pp
VfB Stuttgart35¢ / 37¢34¢ / 36¢+1.0 pp
Draw23¢ / 26¢22¢ / 25¢+1.0 pp

Price history, last 3 days

10 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All Bundesliga games disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports