SC Paderborn 07 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket
Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET · Bundesliga games · $32 traded in 24h across both venues.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Kalshi 51¢ vs Polymarket 59¢, -8.0 pp
Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 51¢ means 51%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.
Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.
-7.74¢ per $1, after fees
Buy SC Paderborn 07 @ Polymarket 22¢, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim @ Kalshi 59¢, Draw @ Polymarket 23¢
All outcomes
| Outcome | Kalshi bid / ask | Polymarket bid / ask | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 | 13¢ / 21¢ | 18¢ / 22¢ | -3.0 pp |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 42¢ / 59¢ | 56¢ / 61¢ | -8.0 pp |
| Draw | 15¢ / 31¢ | 18¢ / 23¢ | +2.5 pp |
Price history, last 3 days
How this is matched
Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.
What this is not
Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.