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BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07 odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 9:30 AM ET · Bundesliga games · $2k traded in 24h across both venues.

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Kalshi 79¢ vs Polymarket 80¢, -1.5 pp

Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 79¢ means 79%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.41¢ per $1, after fees
Buy BV Borussia 09 Dortmund @ Kalshi 79¢, SC Paderborn 07 @ Polymarket 9¢, Draw @ Kalshi 13¢

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund78¢ / 79¢79¢ / 81¢-1.5 pp
SC Paderborn 078¢ / 9¢7¢ / 9¢+0.5 pp
Draw12¢ / 13¢13¢ / 14¢-1.0 pp

Price history, last 3 days

15 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All Bundesliga games disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports