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LoL: NightBirds vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Tue, Sep 8, 2026, 10:00 AM ET · League of Legends matches · $1k traded in 24h across both venues.

NightBirds: Kalshi 88¢ vs Polymarket 89¢, -1.0 pp

Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 88¢ means 88%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-3.57¢ per $1, after fees
Buy EXILE esports @ Polymarket 13¢, NightBirds @ Kalshi 89¢

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap
EXILE esports12¢ / 16¢10¢ / 13¢+2.5 pp
NightBirds86¢ / 89¢87¢ / 90¢-1.0 pp

Price history, last 3 days

3 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All League of Legends matches disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports