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US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Sat, Sep 5, 2026, 10:15 PM ET · started · ATP tennis matches · $13.3M traded in 24h across both venues.

Learner Tien: Kalshi 69¢ vs Polymarket 68¢, +1.0 pp

Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 69¢ means 69%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-3.09¢ per $1, after fees
Buy Jakub Mensik @ Kalshi 32¢, Learner Tien @ Polymarket 68¢

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap
Jakub Mensik31¢ / 32¢32¢ / 33¢-1.0 pp
Learner Tien68¢ / 69¢67¢ / 68¢+1.0 pp

Price history, last 3 days

8 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All ATP tennis matches disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports