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US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Tue, Sep 8, 2026, 11:30 AM ET · ATP tennis matches · $11k traded in 24h across both venues.

Frances Tiafoe: Kalshi 61¢ vs Polymarket 61¢, 0.0 pp

Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 61¢ means 61%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.19¢ per $1, after fees
Buy Frances Tiafoe @ Polymarket 61¢, Alex Michelsen @ Kalshi 40¢

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap
Frances Tiafoe60¢ / 61¢60¢ / 61¢0.0 pp
Alex Michelsen39¢ / 40¢39¢ / 40¢0.0 pp

Price history, last 3 days

7 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All ATP tennis matches disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports