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US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Sun, Sep 6, 2026, 3:00 PM ET · ATP tennis matches · $58k traded in 24h across both venues.

Daniil Medvedev: Kalshi 59¢ vs Polymarket 59¢, 0.0 pp

Mid prices. A price is the market's probability: 59¢ means 59%. The gap is Kalshi minus Polymarket in percentage points.

Two separate exchanges, two accounts. Links may carry a referral code, which never changes what is shown. Disclosures.

-4.21¢ per $1, after fees
Buy Daniil Medvedev @ Polymarket 59¢, Frances Tiafoe @ Kalshi 42¢

All outcomes

OutcomeKalshi bid / askPolymarket bid / askGap
Daniil Medvedev58¢ / 59¢58¢ / 59¢0.0 pp
Frances Tiafoe41¢ / 42¢41¢ / 42¢0.0 pp

Price history, last 3 days

8 snapshots · teal Kalshi · violet Polymarket

How this is matched

Games are matched across the two exchanges by league, team codes and date. Polymarket prices come from its live order book, Kalshi from its public API. Refreshed every 45 seconds.

What this is not

Read-only. Nothing here places or routes orders and nothing is advice. Fees, slippage and the time it takes to move money between venues are not in these numbers.

More

All ATP tennis matches disagreements · Full price history · Daily reports